Open Nav
Show Navigation
Show Menu
FANTASY FOOTBALL NEWS

Deebo Samuel bounces back; can he keep it up?

By Jared Smola | Updated on Sat, Nov 25 2023 12:40 PM UTC
Deebo Samuel Headshot

Niners WR Deebo Samuel racked up a team-high 9 targets that converted into a 7-79 receiving line Thursday night against the Seahawks. Samuel’s lack of involvement since returning from his multi-week shoulder injury had been a concern (8 combined targets across weeks 10 and 11). Samuel now has four healthy games of 7+ targets, but also four in which he drew 4 targets or fewer. We'd certainly bet on him going higher than 4 targets per game the rest of the way. But Samuel will face weekly volume challenges. The 49ers rank last in the league at 28.1 pass attempts per game and continue to sport WR Brandon Aiyuk, TE George Kittle, and RB Christian McCaffrey. Samuel's remaining schedule ranks second-easiest for WRs per our adjusted fantasy points allowed, which obviously helps. Next week’s matchup vs. the Eagles looks particularly good. The Philly defense ranks fifth in passing yards allowed per game (248.1), and opposing QBs have posted the eighth-best passer rating (96.4) against them this season. The Eagles also play the run much tougher than the pass, which has motivated opponents to pass at the league's second-highest rate over expected. Samuel should sit comfortably inside our top 24 WRs across formats for that matchup. And he's likely to hover in that WR2 range the rest of the way.

Jared Smola Author Image
Jared Smola, Lead Analyst
Jared has been with since 2007. He’s now Lead Analyst, heading up the preseason and weekly projections that fuel your Draft War Room and My Team tools. He currently ranks sixth among 158 analysts in draft rankings accuracy.
Video: New IDP Dynasty Top 5s

Video: New IDP Dynasty Top 5s

2:46pm UTC 5/23/25

This quick-hitting episode checks in on the latest update to the IDP rankings. There's youth on top at DB, familiar DL leaders and a surprise No. 1 at LB ...

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentIndianapolis Colts Fantasy Forecast: Will QB Play Kill This Team?

Indianapolis Colts Fantasy Forecast: Will QB Play Kill This Team?

11:01pm UTC 5/22/25

Who will be under center for the Colts this season? And what does the answer to that question mean for the team's skill-position players? Here's your 2025 Colts fantasy preview.

Read More »
Premium Content Premium ContentHouston Texans Fantasy Forecast: Can C.J. Stroud and Co. Bounce Back?

Houston Texans Fantasy Forecast: Can C.J. Stroud and Co. Bounce Back?

5:01pm UTC 5/20/25

A sophomore slump from C.J. Stroud and bad offensive line play made the Texans generally disappointing for fantasy managers last year. Should you bet on a rebound in 2025? Here's your Texans season preview.

Read More »
Compare Plans » Compare Plans »
THE 2025 ROOKIE GUIDE (V3) IS UPDATED POST-DRAFT!
80 Prospects • Mock Drafts • Trade Values • Model Scores • Analytics & More